septimus
VisorCentral Staff

Registered: Feb 2001
Location: Them Twin Cities
Posts: 1758 |
quote: Originally posted by dick-richardson
Where can I learn of these theories?
...looking for links...
Here's a start...
...Basically, if you can show that there's a chance that god will give you infinite gain (heaven) despite disbelief, however tiny that chance is, you throw an infinite gain possiblity into the matrix on the "decide against God" side. (I wish I could post a table!) You matrix is essentialy your choices down the left side (believe and don't) and the circumstances across the top (Exists & punished, exists and doesn't punish, and don't). The cells are the outcomes of your decision given the circumstances.
Ok, now you've got different methods for making a decision.
Maximax gain is the highest possible gain, and it's no longer clearly believe, b/c you also have the possiblity of infinite gain on the other side...
maximizing expected value is basically multiplying the likelyhood of the thing you can't control (i.e. god's existence) against the outcome of the decision you make. Again, it's much easier to explain with a table. Since you've got infinity in there (ah, infinity.. let's not examine that term too closely), it screws that up too, you can't decide.
Minimax loss says you should minimize loss in the worst possible circumstance. let's assume that there's no infinite punishment for disbelief. In this case, you can decide, assuming you find it to be worse to believe in god when god doesn't exist than to not believe in god when god doesn't exist.
I'm glossing over quite a bit, but the basic idea is that if you lay out the decision matrix and start to fiddle with the basic assumptions a bit, you can do all kinds of interesting things with it.
quote: 6 more years will qualify you for...?
PhD in English Lit or Comp (still deciding).
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