SSmith
Member
Registered: Apr 2001
Location:
Posts: 2 |
Missing the point
The discussion about Microsoft, USB ports, Bluetooth etc. is all mute. The OS is central here to the future success of Palm. Firstly, because as their CEO has cited, they are in the OS business, not in the business of making hardware. Secondly, because they will inevitably lose out in the hardware wars.
The PalmOS is an incredibly weak and non-future proof OS. Its 16bit architecture says it all. The only real advantage is the huge developer base and third party apps - but as Microsoft have proved, that is under threat as more developers port to both systems.
Pocket PC OS is yes, more powerful - but how on earth can MS create an OS that requires so much power just to run the basics?
People wake up. The real threat will come from Symbian (www.symbian.com) and their EPOC OS. From the ground up, this is the most technically advanced and PDA/mobile specific OS there is on the market. Compact, efficient and built in components so you take what you need, when you need.
Even if we assume there are 15 million PDA units out there, this figure represents years of selling. The mobile industry has achieved in excess of 500 million units. This is the real threat.
Mobile handsets are closing the gap between PDA and cellular phone. Soon, the distinction will be lost as devices handle both voice and data.
Palm's biggest victory in this market is probably Nokia...yet Nokia will be sitting PalmOS on top of an EPOC platform. Why? Because PalmOS simply doesn't have the power needed to do the job.
The Symbian consortium is a formiddable one, and one that has the power to deliver 3 to 4 times PalmOS units in a very short period of time. Are developers going to switch? What do you think given the reach into critical mass? Lest we forget the increasing Java presence, which could make software development truly platform independent!!! And of course the growth of Wireless ISPs....
Yes, Symbian are not a player right now in the PDA market. But how long will the PDA market continue to use that name? Convergence is inevitable.
There is a reason MS are touting their Stinger...recognition that we haven't seen anything yet.
Rumours have surfaced many times over a link-up between Palm and Symbian. But nothing has ever come to fluition. The Palm rhetoric is ultimately doomed unless they are prepared to join one team or other. The Symbian consortium, with Ericsson, Nokia, Motorola, Sony, Matu****a (and several more) is equally as huge as Microsoft. In an industry with huge steaks, the idea of "if you can't beam 'em, join 'em" makes sense.
Palm have thrived on arogance....not its time to wake up and smell the coffee beans.
Java and WAP/-iMode Wireless ISP services will undermine Palm's lead in third party development. Okay, this will still take time, but its coming. And if Palm switch their OS to a more powerful architecture, they will, overnight, lose all advantages they had in terms of developed applications.
Wake up Palm...MS and Symbian and in the fast lane and their supercharged operating systems are light years ahead.
Can you blame Handspring for hinting they may use another OS? Ever thought they may switch to something from Symbian or worse still, MS?
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