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What's to come of all this....?

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halperin
Member

Registered: May 2002
Location: Israel
Posts: 7

Pitty HS missed the SD slot on TREO

They should have adopted them selfs to the new standard earlier - as soon as they faced the fact that the modules will not fit in the TREO 180/270.
For a very small effort they could have made them much more useful.
Now we have neither

Life & Evolution goes on...

halperin is offline Old Post 05-21-2002 08:14 AM
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ubik
Member

Registered: Mar 2001
Location:
Posts: 32

quote:
Originally posted by Toby
Then perhaps you should be more careful what you quote before going off on a rant?


Oh, for the love of God, get over yourself! I don't need to "be more careful" about a damned thing. You need to spend more face to face time with real people, and less time admiring how biting your own comments can be when you have an hour or two to 'fire off' an indignant email from the relative comfort and anonymity of your computer. Perhaps if you got out more you would learn that it is no great transgression that people must be wary of, to tell you when you have made an error.

quote:
Originally posted by Toby
No, the original poster was saying basically that Springboard was going to become the Beta of the PDA world when compared to 'standards' like SD, CF, or MS.


No, you AND the poster you were arguing with, were debating the merits of the various expansion technologies for PDAs in the context of the tired and inaccurate old Beta analogy. That was why I went "off on a rant."


quote:
Originally posted by Toby
If you'll go to the link which I posted, you'll see that price was also not the reason why Beta didn't succeed. Fact is that JVC was not the only player. Panasonic (Matsu****a) was also in the game. Ironic that Panasonic is also apparently picking the leading horse with SD also..


Well, see, the thing is that some of us have actual life experience, and know better than to use the internet as the final arbiter of what really happened. I was alive in the days of Beta, and even have owned a few Beta machines, as well as ED Beta machines, and several VHS and S-VHS machines. I don't need a web page to tell me how things were, I experienced them for myself.

quote:
Originally posted by Toby
Source?
[B]Source?



<Sigh> The first sign of people who have mistaken internet forums for the real world is that they loose the ability to assimilate any information that doesn't include http://!

Try going to the local CompUSA, Fry's, or Wal-Mart and asking the sales rep at the PDA counter for an estimation of the number of SD, MS, MMC, or SB memory modules they sell in comparison to expansion modules. The numbers speak for themselves. If you just can't believe it unless you see it on a web page, then search on this very site, and you will notice that one version of the memplug or another always tops the polls of people's favorite/ most useful/ must have modules.

quote:
Originally posted by Toby
That's the problem with anecdotal evidence.


How cute! I don't agree with you, so I must be basing my opinion on anecdotal evidence. Sorry, but I don't really have much anecdotal evidence for this, since I don't spend a lot of time asking people about their PDAs. I am afraid I am having to base my sloppy assumptions on inconclusive and highly subjective measurements like sales numbers and inventory figures of retail outlets.

quote:
Originally posted by Toby
Lemme guess, you didn't bother clicking the link I had in my post.


I clicked it, but just because someone puts together their opinions on the subject, puts them on the internet, and then sites some sources, does not make that the truth. Notable omissions and errata from that link are:

1- Japan Victor Corp. (JVC) was, at the time of the first VHS machine's development, merely the Japanese division of RCA due to the fact that the laws in Japan require Japanese subsidiaries of foreign corporations to be registered as a separate Japanese corporation to operate inside Japan.

2- Home 1/2" VCRs were far less reliable than the 3/4" professional machines in use at that time, not the other way around as the article says. That is measurable in the mean hours between failures, and is not a subjective measurement.

3- Beta had notably higher resolution and color fidelity. I actually checked this on professional test equipment with test patterns, so please don't give me some crap about subjective value judgments.

4- The article completely ignored ED Beta, a consumer format with broadcast quality resolution and color fidelity.

I point all of this out simply to make clear that this is hardly an authoritative text on the Beta format or its demise. I am sure that if you search the internet long enough, you can find a source of documentation with several refferences to support the argument that Beta machines were actually engineered by aliens, and saying you can still find them at the center of crop circles, but that doesn't make it true.

This is my last post on the subject, as I really am sure I can find something better to do than argue endlessly with someone so enamoured of their own words that they can't even admit that they fell prey to a bad analogy in the middle of an argument.

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ubik is offline Old Post 05-21-2002 08:52 AM
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Yorick
Member

Registered: Mar 2001
Location: Out of my skull, back in five minutes
Posts: 1435

quote:
Originally posted by Rogocop
The visor kinda reminds me of those toys out a few (several?) years ago, the Transformers? Remember those, you moved arms and legs and stuff and they were trucks and tanks etc. Well anyway, they were a fad or faze and I don't think are around much anymore. Anyway, I view the visor similarly, yet hope it won't soon go the same route

I collect robots and robot toys, and have a moderate collection of Transformers ... they're still around. Check your toy aisle. The current toys are leaps and bounds beyond the ones from the 1980's ... animal forms were the big thing during the mid-to-late 90's but now we're back to trucks and tanks and such.



geek? who're you calling a ... oh, me. okay then.

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Yorick is offline Old Post 05-21-2002 02:43 PM
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Toby
Member

Registered: Jul 2000
Location:
Posts: 3034

quote:
Originally posted by ubik
Oh, for the love of God, get over yourself!
I'm not under myself.
quote:
I don't need to "be more careful" about a damned thing.

*sigh* I'm not saying 'be more careful' in the sense of endangering anyone/thing. I'm saying be more precise in what you're saying. If you've spent enough time on this to get this bent out of shape, you could have saved yourself lots of time by not preaching to the choir.
quote:
You need to spend more face to face time with real people, and less time admiring how biting your own comments can be when you have an hour or two to 'fire off' an indignant email from the relative comfort and anonymity of your computer.

LOL...that's funny. Does it really take you that long to compose a response that you think it must be so for everyone?
quote:
Perhaps if you got out more you would learn that it is no great transgression that people must be wary of, to tell you when you have made an error.

No, what I'm saying is that you were pointing out the wrong error from the wrong person. I didn't make the analogy (or carry it out in the same way) in the first place. Beta is obviously such a pet peeve for you that you missed that I suppose.
quote:
No, you AND the poster you were arguing with, were debating the merits of the various expansion technologies for PDAs in the context of the tired and inaccurate old Beta analogy. That was why I went "off on a rant."

*sigh* No, I wasn't using the same Beta analogy. Sorry that you missed that.
quote:
Well, see, the thing is that some of us have actual life experience, and know better than to use the internet as the final arbiter of what really happened.

The internet wasn't the final arbiter there. It was a convenient source of refutation (based on real world sources which they cited).
quote:
I was alive in the days of Beta,

So was I.
quote:
and even have owned a few Beta machines, as well as ED Beta machines, and several VHS and S-VHS machines. I don't need a web page to tell me how things were, I experienced them for myself.

You experienced _your_ experiences of how things were. Those don't necessarily have any bearing on 'how things were'. That's the problem with anecdotal evidence. Mine may have been totally different, and yet neither is more 'right' or 'wrong' than the other.
quote:
<Sigh> The first sign of people who have mistaken internet forums for the real world is that they loose the ability to assimilate any information that doesn't include http://!

I didn't ask for an URL. I asked for a _source_. Is the source your own experiences? Obviously it is, and deserves the same weight as any other individual's direct experiences (including my own), which while they may become significant in aggregate don't mean much on an individual level (from either side). If the source were a company history from Sony or JVC, that would also have its own weight (or lack thereof) appropriate to it.
quote:
Try going to the local CompUSA, Fry's, or Wal-Mart and asking the sales rep at the PDA counter for an estimation of the number of SD, MS, MMC, or SB memory modules they sell in comparison to expansion modules.

Which would give me about the same level of information as just aggregating the people I support along with other peripheral relationships.
quote:
The numbers speak for themselves. If you just can't believe it unless you see it on a web page, then search on this very site, and you will notice that one version of the memplug or another always tops the polls of people's favorite/ most useful/ must have modules.

Which one of needs to 'get over themselves' again?
quote:
How cute! I don't agree with you, so I must be basing my opinion on anecdotal evidence.

Do you even know what anecdotal evidence is?
quote:
Sorry, but I don't really have much anecdotal evidence for this, since I don't spend a lot of time asking people about their PDAs.

Neither do I. They come find me.
quote:
I am afraid I am having to base my sloppy assumptions on inconclusive and highly subjective measurements like sales numbers and inventory figures of retail outlets.

No, you're not even doing that. You're asking sales people at computer stores if you're doing what you recommend I do. If you were asking a manager to see the books and going to multiple stores and doing the same and aggregating the numbers, you might be closer to looking at really meaningful measurements. Asking a sales rep for their take on what sells the most is the very _definition_ of anecdotal evidence. It only accounts for the people that asked that rep for a specific memory expansion and said that they were using it in a PDA. It wouldn't include all sorts of useful information.
quote:
I clicked it, but just because someone puts together their opinions on the subject, puts them on the internet, and then sites some sources, does not make that the truth.

Then please cite a source which shows where the information is wrong.
quote:
Notable omissions and errata from that link are:

1- Japan Victor Corp. (JVC) was, at the time of the first VHS machine's development, merely the Japanese division of RCA due to the fact that the laws in Japan require Japanese subsidiaries of foreign corporations to be registered as a separate Japanese corporation to operate inside Japan.

2- Home 1/2" VCRs were far less reliable than the 3/4" professional machines in use at that time, not the other way around as the article says. That is measurable in the mean hours between failures, and is not a subjective measurement.

They don't mean 'reliable' in those terms, if you're reading for context. The author would have been clearer to use 'user-friendly'.
quote:
3- Beta had notably higher resolution and color fidelity. I actually checked this on professional test equipment with test patterns, so please don't give me some crap about subjective value judgments.

I didn't give you any crap about that, but again, you're not using the right context. The article specifically said that Beta could be shown to be 'better' on sensitive test equipment. Ultimately, though, it didn't make a difference on consumer TVs at the time. Much like the average person might not be that impressed with DVD on a regular TV compared to a relatively new video, the difference just wasn't obvious right away.
quote:
4- The article completely ignored ED Beta, a consumer format with broadcast quality resolution and color fidelity.

It didn't ignore it anymore than it ignored S-VHS. That wasn't its purpose. It's purpose was to refute common misconceptions about why Beta 'failed' and to illustrate what happened in comparison to those misconceptions. Its purpose was not to soothe the souls of Beta advocates.
quote:
I point all of this out simply to make clear that this is hardly an authoritative text on the Beta format or its demise.

I didn't say it was. Quite the contrary. It's a source that shows that Beta didn't die the death that people think it did.
quote:
I am sure that if you search the internet long enough, you can find a source of documentation with several refferences to support the argument that Beta machines were actually engineered by aliens, and saying you can still find them at the center of crop circles, but that doesn't make it true.

I bet I couldn't find such an article citing Consumers' Research, Video Magazine, Popular Electronics, Business Week, High Fidelity, Stereo Review, Forbes, Time, etc. along with specific issues and page numbers which could be verified.
quote:
This is my last post on the subject, as I really am sure I can find something better to do than argue endlessly with someone so enamoured of their own words that they can't even admit that they fell prey to a bad analogy in the middle of an argument.

What you still fail to grasp is that you're not arguing against anything that I'm arguing for. You're so caught up in championing Beta that you missed the fact that I'm not against it. I'm saying that Beta was a format that didn't catch on in the consumer market for reasons that most people misunderstand, but it still lives a healthy life within its own little niche. The springboard should be so lucky. However, it's much more likely that Sony's other product, the memory stick will have that fate in the PDA space, since although they have the momentum in other spaces, that doesn't necessarily translate to dominance in the PDA space.

Toby is offline Old Post 05-21-2002 03:26 PM
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Toby
Member

Registered: Jul 2000
Location:
Posts: 3034

quote:
Originally posted by dick-richardson
I'd take an exception to this statement. CF/SD will likely win because HS decided the best things for themselves in the pda market were evergreen needles stuck in their @$$ and urine dribbling down their thighs.
Beam him up, Scotty!

Toby is offline Old Post 05-21-2002 03:28 PM
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Madkins007
Member

Registered: Mar 2001
Location: Nebraska- the Good life
Posts: 695

quote:
Originally posted by Toby
How so? It has definitely cost Palm its marketshare and has caused it to engage in a wounding price war with the number two (Handspring). Handspring is unlikely to be able to stop the bleeding. The jury is still out on Palm itself.


Pop quiz time: what is the market share for PDA's with proprietary OS's? (Royal Da Vinci, Casio Cassiopeia, VTech Helio, etc. for example) I wonder what would have happened to young Palm Inc. if they were the ONLY Palm OS device on the market- especially at $200-300 compared to the $50-$150 range of the others. Would there have been a base of hundreds of thousands of pieces of software written for them? (We have or have had the others, and I have looked all over for 3rd party software for them- nearly non-existant.) Most other PDA makers have other products they can use in various ways to help cushion them- Palm just had the one.

Things are not looking good for your young heros, but if they had held all licenses to themselves, they might not have gotten too far off the launchpad in the first place.

quote:
Originally posted by Toby

No, but it'll probably be a case of people choosing more widely available standards over a more closed format. Sony's CF sled in Japan seems to be a bow to that direction. Anybody want to start a pool on when Sony will cave and include either SD or CF [in addition to|instead of] MS just like they did with VHS? [/B]


I really hope it is CF, but that is a personal preference- SD/MMC and SM have a size advantage that meshes well with the 'smaller is better' philosophy of handhelds (although, it looks like the reading technology may be a bit bulkier, so maybe CF still holds an edge?).

Don't get me wrong- I LIKE Sony, and MS, but I really wish that either more companies used MS technology so the pricing/availability of MS improved OR Sony had used a technology that already existed. MS's seem to have stalled at 128 MB, while the sizes of CF just keeps climbing. I wonder if MS would be growing as fast if more companies used it?

Re: Betamax- Maybe Sony did indeed want to license the technology out (it sounds like they were sort of stabbed in the back, doesn't it? Yeesh!) the end effect was about the same- an 'odd man out' technology. No matter how brave the company is, how superior the product is, or how scrappy the fans are, 'odd man out' technologies traditionally have not fared well. (I still often miss my Geoworks Suite I used instead of the far clunkier Windows- but no one was writing big applications for Geoworks. Sigh.)

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Madkins007 is offline Old Post 05-21-2002 04:47 PM
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dick-richardson
Member

Registered: Oct 2000
Location: Aberdeen, SD
Posts: 2531

quote:
Originally posted by Toby
Beam him up, Scotty!

I was referring, of course, to sitting on their laurels while pissing their advantage in the consumer market down their leg.

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Abortion: Darwinism at its finest.

dick-richardson is offline Old Post 05-21-2002 05:27 PM
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Toby
Member

Registered: Jul 2000
Location:
Posts: 3034

quote:
Originally posted by Madkins007
Pop quiz time: what is the market share for PDA's with proprietary OS's? (Royal Da Vinci, Casio Cassiopeia, VTech Helio, etc. for example)
Cassiopeia doesn't necessarily count since there were several of those which were generic WinCE machines. The marketshare for 'other' also varies by country. It's fairly small in the states, but much more significant overseas.
quote:
I wonder what would have happened to young Palm Inc. if they were the ONLY Palm OS device on the market- especially at $200-300 compared to the $50-$150 range of the others.

They _were_ the only PalmOS organizer until late 1999. All of their licensees before that point were in other markets (like the Qualcomm or Symbol licenses)
quote:
Would there have been a base of hundreds of thousands of pieces of software written for them?

Apparently the answer is a resounding _yes_!
quote:
(We have or have had the others, and I have looked all over for 3rd party software for them- nearly non-existant.) Most other PDA makers have other products they can use in various ways to help cushion them- Palm just had the one.

And they made it very successful under the original watch. Their problems all started when 3Com's management thought that Palm should go in a different direction than Hawkins and Dubinsky did. They might manage to turn that around now that Carl's gone.
quote:
Things are not looking good for your young heros,

What 'young heros' are you referring to here? Hawkins and Dubinsky? They're not my heroes. I think Hawkins has had some interesting ideas that transformed the PDA industry, but like most 'visonaries', he seems a bit flaky. Dubinsky seems to be an average manager with the luck of good associations. Their biggest accomplishments were the team of engineers they put together.
quote:
but if they had held all licenses to themselves, they might not have gotten too far off the launchpad in the first place.

What makes you think that? History seems to disagree. Palm is what it is today because of what they did with the original Pilot and subsequent Palms under that team. Everything since they left was coasting on brand recognition and market position. Now it has to stand on its own feet. We'll see what OS5/5.5/6/... brings.
quote:
I really hope it is CF, but that is a personal preference- SD/MMC and SM have a size advantage that meshes well with the 'smaller is better' philosophy of handhelds (although, it looks like the reading technology may be a bit bulkier, so maybe CF still holds an edge?).

We shall see.
quote:
Don't get me wrong- I LIKE Sony, and MS,

Well, I like Sony, but I'm ambivalent about MS. If I already had a bunch of MS peripherals, I'm sure I'd get a Clie next without a doubt, but when one of the touted features of the line is pictures, having it be incompatible with my digital camera is a con (not that there might not be more pros when I make my next purchase, but that remains to be seen).
quote:
but I really wish that either more companies used MS technology so the pricing/availability of MS improved OR Sony had used a technology that already existed. MS's seem to have stalled at 128 MB, while the sizes of CF just keeps climbing. I wonder if MS would be growing as fast if more companies used it?

Probably, because then it would be more of a 'standard' than it is now.
quote:
Re: Betamax- Maybe Sony did indeed want to license the technology out (it sounds like they were sort of stabbed in the back, doesn't it? Yeesh!) the end effect was about the same- an 'odd man out' technology.

Yep.
quote:
No matter how brave the company is, how superior the product is, or how scrappy the fans are, 'odd man out' technologies traditionally have not fared well. (I still often miss my Geoworks Suite I used instead of the far clunkier Windows- but no one was writing big applications for Geoworks. Sigh.)

Wholeheartedly agreed.

Note: This post actually did take almost an hour to compose, but that's because 55 minutes of that hour was either spent face to face with real people or in transit to those people.

Toby is offline Old Post 05-21-2002 05:44 PM
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Toby
Member

Registered: Jul 2000
Location:
Posts: 3034

quote:
Originally posted by dick-richardson
I was referring, of course, to sitting on their laurels while pissing their advantage in the consumer market down their leg.
Yep, and I was referring to their choosing to do that with a 'communicator' device eerily similar to the one used in the original Trek.

Toby is offline Old Post 05-21-2002 05:46 PM
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dick-richardson
Member

Registered: Oct 2000
Location: Aberdeen, SD
Posts: 2531

quote:
Originally posted by Toby
Yep, and I was referring to their choosing to do that with a 'communicator' device eerily similar to the one used in the original Trek.

Veo...well said and well placed.

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Abortion: Darwinism at its finest.

dick-richardson is offline Old Post 05-22-2002 12:05 AM
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EricG
Member

Registered: Aug 2000
Location: Alive and well on VisorCentral.com
Posts: 861

quote:
Originally posted by Madkins007


(I still often miss my Geoworks Suite I used instead of the far clunkier Windows- but no one was writing big applications for Geoworks. Sigh.)



Me too!

I thought I was the last human alive to remember it..

I was a Geoworks user from its first days on the Commodore 64, C= 128 and then later when it went to the PC..

Eons ago when I used to sell PC's when I was still in college, I sold alot of PC's by showing GeoWorks vs Windows..

Was a nice efficient little OS, and some say that MS isn't a crushing monopoly!! - HA -

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EricG is offline Old Post 05-22-2002 03:58 AM
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